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06 Oct 2015

I've seen this a lot on twitter, so I thought I'd write a quick post on how I watch the Avs (& other sports) without having cable TV.    First you need a good internet connection (I go with Centurylink. TestMyNet.com has my d/l rate as 10.2 Mbps and upload of 599kbps). This seems to work pretty well. I'm waiting for a million comments on why my internet sucks and how I can spend 3...

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25 Jun 2015

I was listening to an episode of my favorite podcast: You Are Not So Smart the other day, and his guest was Google director of People Operations (Human Resources): Laszlo Bock. You should go listen to the whole podcast, because it was really fascinating. One part that caught my ear was when Mr. Bock was talking about hiring, and how managers hire within Google [20 minute mark]. Their research shows that college sophomores can make the...

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25 Sep 2014

This could be a doozy, so we'll jump right in, because there's a lot I want to cover. Most of the regression talk with the Avs comes in three forms: Goaltending/sv%, Corsi/Fenwick, and Shooting %. There's a couple more areas I don't thik have gotten a lot of ink, so I'm going to talk about them, but I'll start with Shooting %: Shooting %: Shooting % is a stat that really goes all over the place,...

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25 Sep 2014

Key Additions: Brad Stuart, Zach Redmond Key Subtractions: Andre Benoit, Corey Sarich The defense is actually a place where I think the Avs improved over a season ago, the problem is, it's a slight improvement and not nearly enough for a team with a defense that is, legitimately, thought of as one of the weakest in the league. Let's throw some Zone Exit data out there, curtesy of Corey Sznajder (whose doing some AMAZING work over at...

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15 Sep 2014

Part I was Goalies. This is part II - Forwards  Key Additions -  Jarome Iginla, Danny Briere, Jesse Winchester, Ben Street Key Subtractions - Paul Stastny, PA Parenteau, MA Cliche Edit: for some stupid reason, I thought the Avs did not re-sign of Cliche. Apologies for the error. Let's start the position players with the elephant in the room: The Avs Corsi-tied last season was 22nd in the league. Their Fenwick-tied was 23rd. That's not good, and...

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15 Sep 2014

I've been insanely pessimistic about the Avs season all summer, and I have only revealed the source of my pessimism in bits and pieces over twitter. So I figured I needed to give a comprehensive guide to why I don't think the Avs are going to be very good this season: (and why I'm going to enjoy the season anyways). This is intended to be a 5 part series, but it could balloon to six...

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23 May 2014

Those who argue with Advanced stats usually do so because of the eye test. The general vibe given off in these conversations is that a trained eye is better at evaluation because it can pick up nuance that numbers don't capture.   Here's why I find "the eye test" extremely unreliable, in ove video about a card trick:    

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11 Mar 2014

Tweet This is a pretty contraversial opinion in Avs land, so I better have a pretty good reason and logic to back it up. And I do.  First of all, It's important to note how important Puck Possession (measured with either Corsi or Fenwick) is to a team's success. I don't want to go into a long schpiel on it, but Eric T, one of the best analytics minds in hockey right now, has it...

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17 Feb 2014

Tweet As ice hockey is unquestionably one of the sports with a really big following in both the U.S. and Canada, it really seems surprising that there have not been a greater number of themed casino slot games based on it. The development of Break Away by the very successful Microgaming could well see that change though, as this five reel example of the form is the first such game to be based on NHL...

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07 Dec 2013

Tweet When the injured Jan Hejda was replaced on the top pair with Nate Guenin I was initially boggled at how very smart hockey people, such as Patrick Roy and his staff, can be so wrong about a player or players as he continues to undervalue the contributions of Tyson Barrie. I was listening to my favorite podcast on the internet, You are not so Smart, when the host talked about Argumentum ad Antiquitatem, or...

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